March 23, 2004

Israels strategy

I was reading Steven DenBeste's weblog and saw a new article - this one is on Israel's strategy re: the assisination of terrorist and Hamas founder Sheik Yassin. He shares a number of conclusions that I do and comes to a very interesting point... bq. A negotiated peace with the Palestinians is not possible now. That has been clear for a long time. There are two reasons why. First, the Palestinians do not negotiate in good faith. The reason that Oslo failed was that the Palestinians did not fulfil their side of the bargain. bq. But even more important than that is the fact that the Palestinians are not united. There is no actual leader who can negotiate on behalf of the Palestinians who can actually deliver on the promises he makes. bq. That's what Israel is about to prove to the world. This is what is really new, and it is extremely clever. That's why Israel is building a wall around the West Bank, and why Israel is going to pull out of Gaza. With Israel gone, the Palestinian areas will erupt in violence as various Palestinian power groups vie with one another for control. This analogy is very apt: bq. The right mental model for Palestinian factions is the Chicago crime mobs of the Prohibition era. These are not political movements; they are violent gangs. The Palistinian terrorists do not want, will not accept a two-state solution. They want Israel pushed into the sea. Israel's solution is to show the world that there is no unified Palestinian leadership. Posted by DaveH at March 23, 2004 3:13 PM