Hurricane Katrina -- CAT1?
Paul at
Wizbang points to some data that shows that Hurricane Katrina had lessened quite a bit before hitting New Orleans:
Katrina a Category 1 When it Hit New Orleans?!?
It's been getting more widely accepted that Katrina was NOT a Category 4 storm, especially by the time it hit New Orleans. Now we get more data that is just chilling.New data suggest Katrina was a less intense, Category 3 storm
FORT LAUDERDALE, Fla. - (KRT) - Hurricane Katrina might have battered New Orleans and the Gulf Coast as a considerably weaker system than the Category 4 tempest initially reported.
New, preliminary information, compiled by hurricane researchers, suggests the system struck southeast Louisiana on Aug. 29 with peak-sustained winds of 115 mph. That would have made it a Category 3 storm, still a major hurricane but a step down from the enormous destructive force of a Category 4.
Katrina might have further downgraded to a strong Category 1 system with 95-mph winds, when it punched water through New Orleans' levees, severely flooding most of the city and killing hundreds. The levees were designed to withstand a Category 3 storm.
If verified, the wind information, compiled by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Hurricane Research Division, could have chilling ramifications. ...
Emphasis mine -- Paul (who is from that area) then goes on to say:
I spent a full day in the West End area looking at damage. I find it hard to fathom (at first) that much damage was caused by 65mph winds. A good winter storm will give us 65mph winds but of course there is a difference between a few gusts of 65 and several hours of sustained winds.
A few months ago Tropical Storm Cindy hit New Orleans as a direct hit and people in town were amazed how much damage we got from a tropical storm. I made the point that it was all about geography. A direct hit from a TS is much worse than a hurricane 100 miles away. I've heard it claimed that my half of town never saw hurricane force winds from Katrina. ... Although driving thru town, you'd have a very, very hard time believing that.
Having said all of the above, continuing from a previous post. If the stormwalls failed in Cat 1 winds, somebody has some explaining to do.
The previous post that Paul links to above is one where he looks at the Levee failures. The part that failed was a brand new floodwall. The 30-year-old Levee's performed flawlessly -- they held. The unanswered question for now is was this engineering failure or did the contractor cheat and not build to spec. This question will be answered in the next year or so and someone will hang, twisting slowly in the wind...
Posted by DaveH at October 5, 2005 12:30 PM