Climate Sensitivity ReconsideredWhat follows is a point by point examination of the predictions of the IPCC and the reality as observed through various methods for the last twenty (or so) years. There are about forty citations so you are more then welcome to check the numbers for yourself. And James Hansen gets a new one reamed out at no charge... Posted by DaveH at July 16, 2008 9:07 PM
By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley
Abstract
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, 2007) concluded that anthropogenic CO2 emissions probably caused more than half of the �global warming� of the past 50 years and would cause further rapid warming. However, global mean surface temperature has not risen since 1998 and may have fallen since late 2001. The present analysis suggests that the failure of the IPCC�s models to predict this and many other climatic phenomena arises from defects in its evaluation of the three factors whose product is climate sensitivity:
- Radiative forcing ΔF;
- The no-feedbacks climate sensitivity parameter κ; and
- The feedback multiplier �.
Some reasons why the IPCC�s estimates may be excessive and unsafe are explained. More importantly, the conclusion is that, perhaps, there is no �climate crisis�, and that currently-fashionable efforts by governments to reduce anthropogenic CO2 emissions are pointless, may be ill-conceived, and could even be harmful.
As is typical of your ilk, Devices, you attack the person whom you disagree with instead of offering a credible argument to counter his statements.
I support your right to speak out on the issues, but wish there was something, anything at all, of substance. Whichever views turn out to be correct, we are more likely to achieve a better understanding with thought and rational debate rather than vitriol.
Posted by: Kelly at July 18, 2008 11:57 PMThat is a "smackdown"? Its dribble. I really wish there was more scientifically credible people objecting to the global warming crowed and not clowns like Monckton. He does more harm then good with his antics.
Posted by: Devices at July 17, 2008 9:40 PM