August 20, 2011

A fascinating look at temperature cycles

From Girma Orssengo, PhD writing at Watts Up With That:
Interpretation of the Global Mean Temperature Data as a Pendulum
In his Caltech commencement address in 1974, Professor Richard Feynman advised students the following:
�Details that could throw doubt on your interpretation must be given, if you know them.�
Using the global mean temperature (GMT) data from the Climate Research Unit at the University of East Anglia, the Intergovernmental Panel On Climate Change (IPCC), in its Fourth Assessment Report of 2007, reported to the world �accelerated warming� of the globe.

Identifying whether the GMT data shows accelerated warming is extremely crucial because the IPCC claims this accelerated warming is caused by CO2 emission from human use of fossil fuels. As a result, use of fossil fuels that has protected the naked animal from the freezing winter, sweltering summer, backbreaking drudgery, or in general allowed the naked animal to live life as a human is now being blamed for warming the planet. Most governments have made the extremely bizarre declaration that the CO2 you exhale, plants inhale, and forest fires and volcanoes naturally release is a pollutant, and they are putting a price on it.

The accelerated warming claim by the IPCC is accepted by most of the world�s scientific institutions, governments and media.

In this article, following Feynman�s advice, an alternative interpretation of the same GMT data is provided that throws doubt on the accelerated warming interpretation of the IPCC.

This alternative interpretation was also used to estimate the GMT trend for the next two decades, which shows global cooling from the GMT peak value of about 0.45 deg C for the 2000s to 0.13 deg C by the 2030s.
Spot on -- lots of links to source materials. The comments are a fun read -- 80% science and 20% snark. Posted by DaveH at August 20, 2011 8:36 AM
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