February 29, 2012

Carrington events

Last Saint Valentine's day I posted how Homeland Security was making preparations in the event of another Carrington Event. Take home point -- do not be in Seattle or New York City. Now, someone is saying that we could have a 1 in 8 chance of one before 2020. From Wired:
1 in 8 Chance of Catastrophic Solar Megastorm by 2020
The Earth has a roughly 12 percent chance of experiencing an enormous megaflare erupting from the sun in the next decade. This event could potentially cause trillions of dollars� worth of damage and take up to a decade to recover from.

Such an extreme event is considered to be relatively rare. The last gigantic solar storm, known as the Carrington Event, occurred more than 150 years ago and was the most powerful such event in recorded history.

That a rival to this event might have a greater than 10 percent chance of happening in the next 10 years was surprising to space physicist Pete Riley, senior scientist at Predictive Science in San Diego, California, who published the estimate in Space Weather on Feb. 23.

�Even if it�s off by a factor of two, that�s a much larger number than I thought,� he said.
Glad I'm hunkered down in the Pacific Northwest. Ordered a new Fire Control Group for my new Zombie Killah... Posted by DaveH at February 29, 2012 7:04 PM
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