The missing hurricanes
Everyone was predicting an
active hurricane season this year -- where are they?
From
The Washington Post:
What happened to hurricane season? And why we should keep forecasting it�
As we wrap up September, there have been just two short-lived Category 1 hurricanes in the Atlantic. Yet seasonal forecasts predicted an extremely active season. What�s going on?
Before diving into the seasonal forecasts, let�s take inventory on where the season stands.
In an average season, 8 tropical storms, 4 hurricanes, and 1 major (category 3 or higher) hurricane form by this date. This year, we�ve experienced 10 tropical storms, 2 hurricanes, and no major hurricanes.
Though we�ve had close to the average number of total storms, most have been short-lived and/or weak. If you went out for a cup of coffee at any time this hurricane season, you would�ve missed many of them.
I am sure they will try to pin this on anthropogenic global warming somehow... Excellent article -- a lot more at the site.
The author, Dr. Brian McNoldy, is a Senior Research Associate at University of Miami's Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science. He blogs
here and
here.
Posted by DaveH at October 2, 2013 1:52 PM